Christchurch United vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
4º
3º
19
7º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 3
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 6 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FER
3 - 4
CHR
10%
14%
76%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CHR
3 - 0
NOM
82%
11%
7%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 1
COA
72%
16%
12%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 3
CHR
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 4
FER
48%
21%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
DUN
56%
20%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 5
CAS
11%
13%
76%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
COA
37%
21%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 1
DUN
44%
21%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |