Christchurch United vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
4º
1º
26
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
COA
0 - 4
CHR
11%
15%
74%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CHR
3 - 0
GIA
86%
9%
5%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
CHR
4 - 1
CAS
19%
20%
62%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WEL
7 - 1
CHR
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHR
2 - 3
AUC
12%
17%
71%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 5
DUN
40%
21%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
NOM
62%
18%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 6
AUC
3%
8%
89%
|
21 | 60 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 1
NSF
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 2
DUN
62%
19%
20%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |