Christchurch United vs Coastal Spirit analysis

Christchurch United Coastal Spirit
40 ELO 20
8.6% Tilt 4.8%
40948º General ELO ranking 27034º
146º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
87.1%
Christchurch United
8.6%
Draw
4.4%
Coastal Spirit

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
Christchurch United
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.6%
4.4%
Win probability
Coastal Spirit
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Christchurch United
-9%
+105%
Coastal Spirit

Points and table prediction

Christchurch United
Their league position
Coastal Spirit
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
31
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Christchurch United
49
49
100%
Cashmere Technical
39
42
100%
Coastal Spirit
31
31
100%
Dunedin
26
29
0%
Ferrymead Bays
26
29
0%
Nelson Suburbs
22
25
100%
Nomads Utd
20
23
100%
Green Island
16
16
100%
Selwyn United
10
10
100%
Twenty 11
10º
6
6
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Christchurch United
Coastal Spirit
Final Series
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Christchurch United
Coastal Spirit
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Christchurch United
Christchurch United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2023
FER
Ferrymead Bays
0 - 1
Christchurch United
CHR
10%
14%
76%
40 20 20 0
05 Jun. 2023
UOC
Universities AFC
1 - 3
Christchurch United
CHR
7%
12%
81%
40 8 32 0
27 May. 2023
CAS
Cashmere Technical
1 - 1
Christchurch United
CHR
63%
19%
19%
40 43 3 0
19 May. 2023
CHR
Christchurch United
1 - 0
Twenty 11
FCT
93%
5%
2%
40 12 28 0
12 May. 2023
CHR
Christchurch United
9 - 0
Parklands United
PAS
81%
12%
7%
40 9 31 0

Matches

Coastal Spirit
Coastal Spirit
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
1 - 3
Ferrymead Bays
FER
63%
19%
19%
22 19 3 0
03 Jun. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
2 - 4
Cashmere Technical
CAS
8%
11%
81%
23 43 20 -1
28 May. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
1 - 0
Dunedin
DUN
36%
22%
42%
22 25 3 +1
19 May. 2023
SUF
Selwyn United
2 - 3
Coastal Spirit
COA
24%
20%
56%
21 16 5 +1
14 May. 2023
COA
Coastal Spirit
5 - 1
Burwood AFC
BUR
77%
14%
9%
21 8 13 0