Universitario vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
10º
10º
21
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AZU
3 - 3
CHO
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHO
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 1
CHO
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
SUN
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UME
3 - 2
AZU
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 0
UME
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
UME
3 - 4
IND
16%
24%
60%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 1
UME
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |