Universitario vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
10º
10º
21
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AZU
3 - 3
CHO
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHO
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 1
CHO
41%
27%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
SUN
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UME
3 - 2
AZU
24%
25%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 0
UME
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
UME
3 - 4
IND
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 1
UME
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |