Universitario vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
10º
8º
11
7º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 1
CHO
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 2
CHO
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 1
AMA
27%
29%
45%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
SMI
4 - 0
CHO
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UME
4 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 1
UME
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
UME
61%
25%
15%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UME
0 - 2
TAU
19%
28%
53%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
COS
2 - 2
UME
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |