Universitario vs UMECIT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
9º
7º
18
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AZU
3 - 4
CHO
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CHO
4 - 2
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 1
SFF
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
CHO
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 2
UME
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 1
UME
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SSM
1 - 0
UME
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
UME
1 - 1
SFF
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
UME
14%
23%
64%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |