Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
7º
7º
18
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
18 | 31 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 29 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 28 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 26 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 21 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 19 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 14 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 14 |
12º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
5.5% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 61% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
TAU
4 - 1
CHO
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
AFC
43%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
COS
1 - 0
CHO
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 2
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 1
SUN
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 1
SMI
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
SMI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 1
UME
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 2
TAU
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |