Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
COS
3 - 1
CHO
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
CHO
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CHO
2 - 1
SMI
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SMI
0 - 0
AMA
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
SMI
48%
24%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
TAU
1 - 0
SMI
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CHO
2 - 1
SMI
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
SMI
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |