Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 4
TAU
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
IND
4 - 0
CHO
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 1
SFF
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
COS
3 - 0
CHO
37%
28%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 0
CHO
21%
27%
52%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
SMI
0 - 1
AMA
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SMI
1 - 2
SFF
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
SMI
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHI
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
ARA
1 - 2
SMI
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |