Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
26.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 2
CHO
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 4
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
COL
0 - 2
CHO
12%
19%
69%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
AMA
0 - 0
CHO
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2019 |
COS
1 - 0
SMI
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
SMI
3 - 0
GEM
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 1
SMI
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
TAU
2 - 1
SMI
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |