Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
CHO
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 2
SFF
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ARA
3 - 2
CHO
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 3
AFC
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TAU
0 - 1
CHO
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SMI
2 - 3
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
SMI
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
GEM
2 - 1
SMI
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 1
VER
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SFF
2 - 0
SMI
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |