Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 0
ARA
35%
30%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
CHO
41%
28%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
SFF
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
42%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 1
AFC
56%
25%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
TAU
2 - 2
SMI
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SMI
3 - 2
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 2
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
SFF
1 - 0
SMI
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
SMI
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |