Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
3 - 1
RIO
52%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SFF
0 - 1
CHO
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 2
TAU
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 2
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 1
RIO
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
AMA
3 - 2
SMI
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TAU
1 - 0
SMI
49%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SMI
0 - 3
ARA
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 0
LDA
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |