Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
26.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
AMA
4 - 2
CHO
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 2
ARA
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SFF
1 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHE
55%
25%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 0
SMI
43%
29%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SMI
4 - 3
TAU
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
SMI
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
SMI
1 - 0
RIO
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |