Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
VER
0 - 3
CHO
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 2
SFF
43%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CHO
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CHO
0 - 0
AFC
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TAU
1 - 1
CHO
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SMI
3 - 1
CHI
44%
24%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 0
SMI
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
SMI
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
SMI
2 - 1
VER
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SFF
2 - 0
SMI
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |