Universitario vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
17.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
VER
1 - 1
CHO
18%
27%
55%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
0 - 0
CHO
8%
15%
77%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 0
SFF
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GEM
1 - 2
CHO
27%
31%
42%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARA
31%
29%
41%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 2
TAU
30%
28%
43%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
NAC
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
SMI
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 0
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AFC
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |