Universitario vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
CHO
53%
28%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHO
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
VER
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARA
31%
29%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEM
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
NAC
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
SMI
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
VER
3 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
SFF
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |