Universitario vs Santa Gema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
17%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 2
IND
62%
24%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SMI
2 - 2
CHO
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
VER
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
AMA
43%
30%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
GEM
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 1
GEM
58%
26%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 3
TAU
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
IND
1 - 0
GEM
39%
29%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 1
SMI
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |