Universitario vs Santa Gema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SMI
0 - 2
CHO
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
VER
1 - 1
CHO
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 1
AFC
56%
26%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHO
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
CHO
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
GEM
2 - 0
AFC
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 1
IND
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SFF
2 - 3
GEM
64%
23%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TAU
2 - 0
GEM
65%
23%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
GEM
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |