Universitario vs Santa Gema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 2
NAC
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
CHO
53%
28%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHO
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
VER
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PAV
0 - 0
GEM
20%
21%
59%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
GEM
1 - 0
SFF
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEM
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
GEM
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
COS
1 - 2
GEM
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |