Universitario vs San Francisco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 6
MON
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 3
CHO
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 0
SMI
48%
28%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
CHO
31%
29%
41%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
TAU
0 - 0
CHO
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Francisco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SFF
0 - 0
CHE
47%
27%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
SFF
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
SFF
38%
26%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
SFF
1 - 2
SMI
52%
26%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
SFF
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |