Universitario vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 1
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
4 - 3
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
TAU
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
2 - 1
AMA
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 1
SMI
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
TAU
1 - 0
AMA
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
SFF
1 - 2
AMA
50%
28%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |