Universitario vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SFF
1 - 0
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
4 - 0
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 2
TAU
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
4 - 2
IND
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 3
AMA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 1
SMI
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
TAU
2 - 2
AMA
44%
29%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SFF
1 - 1
AMA
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |