Universitario vs Plaza Amador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SMI
2 - 0
CHO
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHO
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 1
RIO
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TAU
6 - 4
CHO
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Amador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 1
AFC
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 2
TAU
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
AMA
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 0
SMI
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |