Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
10º
10º
24
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SFF
2 - 1
CHO
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 1
UME
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 1
CHO
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 2
CHO
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
IND
3 - 0
TAU
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 2
IND
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
UME
3 - 4
IND
16%
24%
60%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |