Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
10º
8º
37
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UME
0 - 2
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 1
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AMA
6 - 0
CHO
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
IND
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
CHI
74%
17%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 2
IND
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 1
IND
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
TAU
1 - 3
IND
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
AMA
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |