Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 1
CHO
45%
29%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 1
CHO
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 3
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SMI
2 - 1
CHO
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
TAU
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
IND
1 - 0
AMA
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SFF
2 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
IND
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
IND
25%
27%
49%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |