Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
15.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
HNP
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHO
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
TAU
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
AMA
3 - 0
CHO
51%
27%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
SMI
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
ARA
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
SFF
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
TAU
1 - 1
IND
66%
22%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
COS
1 - 2
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
IND
2 - 1
MSM
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |