Universitario vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
25.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 2
CHO
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 3
SMI
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CHO
3 - 1
RIO
52%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SFF
0 - 1
CHO
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SMI
1 - 2
IND
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
TAU
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 2
IND
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
IND
0 - 1
AMA
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |