Universitario vs Chepo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
CHO
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
TAU
2 - 1
CHO
39%
29%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
IND
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
AFC
58%
24%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHO
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 2
IND
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHE
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
SMI
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CHE
0 - 1
AMA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
SFF
1 - 0
CHE
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |