Universitario vs Chepo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
2 - 1
CHI
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 2
CHO
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CHO
1 - 0
VER
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHO
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 2
SFF
28%
26%
47%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
CHE
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CHE
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
AMA
0 - 1
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 2
AFC
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |