Universitario vs Chepo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SFF
0 - 1
CHO
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 2
ARA
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
25%
28%
47%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 0
SMI
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
VER
0 - 3
CHO
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Chepo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
CHE
5 - 2
CHI
39%
26%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
AMA
2 - 1
CHE
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 0
TAU
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 3
VER
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |