Universitario vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
9º
7º
12
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 1
SFF
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
CHO
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 0
ARA
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
1 - 0
AMA
31%
28%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AZU
4 - 0
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SUN
4 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 2
IND
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 4
SFF
36%
28%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |