Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 2
COS
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SMI
2 - 2
CHO
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
IND
3 - 1
CHO
61%
24%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
AZU
2 - 2
CHO
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 3
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 0
IND
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 0
SFF
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TAU
1 - 0
ARA
53%
26%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
0 - 3
ARA
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
SMI
0 - 0
ARA
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |