Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
CHO
25%
28%
48%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
SMI
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
COS
3 - 1
CHO
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
CHO
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
ARA
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 0
SFF
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
29%
28%
43%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
COM
3 - 0
ARA
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 1
IND
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |