Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 3
TAU
37%
30%
34%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
GEM
2 - 1
CHO
36%
29%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
CHO
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
41%
30%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ARA
4 - 0
NAC
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 1
ARA
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
AVC
0 - 5
ARA
2%
8%
90%
|
71 | 15 | 56 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
SMI
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
ARA
18%
26%
57%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |