Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
35.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
CHO
41%
28%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
SFF
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
42%
27%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 1
AFC
56%
25%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
CHO
25%
28%
47%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 1
TAU
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 2
ARA
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARA
21%
29%
50%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
SMI
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
NAC
69%
21%
10%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |