Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 1
TAU
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SMI
0 - 3
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 1
SFF
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
CHO
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 3
RIO
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 0
IND
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
CHE
60%
25%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 1
AFC
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 1
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
SMI
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |