Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
CHO
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SMI
2 - 0
CHO
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHO
37%
27%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 1
CON
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
AMA
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 0
ARA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
SFF
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SFF
2 - 1
ARA
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -2 |