Universitario vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SFF
1 - 0
CHO
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 1
AMA
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
4 - 1
SFF
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 6
MON
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
CHE
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 4
ARA
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
AMA
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 3
ARA
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHE
53%
27%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |