Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
8º
6º
21
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
COS
1 - 0
CHO
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 2
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
CHO
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 2
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
CHO
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
AZU
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
ARA
44%
29%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TAU
0 - 0
AFC
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
COS
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
AMA
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |