Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
7º
5º
15
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 29 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 27 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 26 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 24 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 23 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 23 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 20 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 15 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
33% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
3.5% | 7% |
|
Play-offs
|
18.5% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 76% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
COS
1 - 0
CHO
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 2
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
CHO
52%
24%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 2
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
CHO
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
AZU
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
ARA
44%
29%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TAU
0 - 0
AFC
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 0
COS
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
AMA
42%
29%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |