Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
9º
7º
19
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 2
CHO
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
SMI
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
COS
4 - 0
CHO
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 1
TAU
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 1
CHO
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
SFF
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
IND
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 1
AFC
37%
30%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 1
CHI
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
UME
0 - 1
AFC
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |