Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CHO
2 - 2
ARA
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
CHO
25%
28%
48%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
SMI
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
COS
3 - 1
CHO
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
COS
1 - 1
CHO
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 1
COS
34%
30%
37%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 2
AMA
35%
31%
34%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
IND
0 - 0
AFC
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ARA
4 - 1
AFC
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |