Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
24%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 0
CHO
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
CHO
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 0
VER
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 2
CHO
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
GEM
60%
25%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 0
VER
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SFF
0 - 1
AFC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
GEM
0 - 1
AFC
32%
31%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TAU
3 - 2
AFC
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |