Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TAU
0 - 1
CHO
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
GEM
50%
28%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 2
NAC
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 2
CHO
53%
28%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SMI
0 - 0
CHO
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 1
AFC
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
SMI
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 2
VER
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SFF
2 - 1
AFC
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |