Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHO
45%
27%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 0
AMA
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SFF
1 - 0
CHO
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHO
4 - 0
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 1
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TAU
0 - 4
AFC
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SMI
0 - 0
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 3
AMA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SFF
4 - 1
AFC
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |