Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
IND
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
CHO
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
CHO
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 2
SFF
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 1
SMI
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
IND
0 - 2
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 1
SFF
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 1
CHE
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |