Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
CHO
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 2
SFF
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
TAU
2 - 1
CHO
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHO
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 1
SFF
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 1
CHE
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
IND
2 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
SMI
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
AFC
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |