Universitario vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHO
37%
27%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 1
RIO
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TAU
6 - 4
CHO
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
CHO
2 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
SMI
0 - 2
CHO
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
SMI
0 - 0
AFC
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
RIO
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 0
AFC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |