Chornomorets Odessa vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
11º
15º
13º
9
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 60 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 57 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 48 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 47 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 47 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 46 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 45 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 41 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 40 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 34 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 31 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
44% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 0
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 2
PFC
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
FYM
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 3
KOL
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 3
RPH
86%
10%
3%
|
74 | 31 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZOR
2 - 1
INH
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ZOR
2 - 0
ALT
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
ZOR
3 - 2
ALR
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
ZOR
1 - 1
LOK
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NSM
0 - 0
ZOR
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |